What Models Can and Can't Do

Climate Models — How Do We Know What Happens in 2100?

Global (more reliable) vs. regional projections (less reliable). Extreme events. Tipping points as the blind spot. Boston 2050 fully explained.

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Learning Material

5 pages

Lesson 6 — What Models Can and Can't Do

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Understanding the Complex: Climate Models — How Do We Know What Happens in 2100?


We've covered how a climate model works and where its uncertainties come from. Now the harder question: what can you actually trust, and where should you hold the projections more loosely?

The answer isn't uniform. Different parts of the projection have different confidence levels — and understanding which is which is the most practically useful thing this course can give you.


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